Research by the Brazilian Association of Animal Protein (ABPA) projected a rise of up to 5% for poultry exports while pork exports could see year-on-year growth of up to 12%.
The growth in exports is being attributed to the drop in Chinese swine herds - about 30% compared to last year due to African Swine Fever, which provided a 31% increase in sales from Brazil to Asia. Other factors - such as the reopening of the swine market to Russia, the first shipment of chicken meat to India and the resumption of trade with the European Union - also contributed to the rise. Asia accounts for 28.2% of Brazilian pork and 13% of chicken exports.
ABPA expects chicken meat production to see a 1% year-on-year increase, from 12.8 million tonnes in 2018 to 13 million tonnes in 2019. Exports should reach 4.3 million tonnes - 4% to 5% higher than last year's 4.1 million tonnes. The per capita consumption, in turn, is predicted to retract 2% compared to 2018.
On the pork side, production growth is expected to be between 1% and 2.5%. The forecast, according to ABPA, is to reach 4.1 million tonnes of production this year and exceed last year’s figure of 3.97 million tonnes. Unlike projected chicken meat, per capita consumption is projected to grow by 1% to 2% from a year earlier.
“The numbers are extremely positive,” said ABPA president Francisco Turra. “The behavior of domestic and foreign markets beckons positively for the poultry and swine sectors. Our main driver for all these events is Asia.”